Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY CONDITIONAL MAIDEN (Mdns 3 runs or more nett 66 & below. R5 000 Win bonus ROA)
Line Horse
He's A Gaul
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 7
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 7
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 7
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Crimson Comet 3 57.0 1 0.00 10.0 74 58 58 -16 2 Angel Of My Heart 3 57.5 2 5.00 10.0 65 59 59 -6 3 Fearless Badger 4 59.0 3 5.50 7.0 63 68 68 +5 4 He's A Gaul 3 60.0 4 6.25 10.0 64 64 64 +0 5 Lord Capulet 3 56.5 5 10.50 10.0 60 57 57 -3 99 Sister Midnight 3 52.5 99 0.00 10.0 - 49 49 +0 99 Dirty Mimosa 2 52.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 69 69 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crimson Comet | 74 | 72 | 58 | +14 | 10.0 | - | |
| 2 | Angel Of My Heart | 65 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 10.0 | - | |
| 3 | Fearless Badger | 63 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | He's A Gaul Line | 64 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 10.0 | ||
| 5 | Lord Capulet | 60 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 10.0 | - | |
| 99 | Sister Midnight | - | 33 | 49 | -16 | 10.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dirty Mimosa | - | 56 | 69 | -13 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points