Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Twilight Bay
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Warrior Royale       3    58.0    1    0.00     8.0   -     -18          -     +0
2    Got The Fever        2    56.5    2    1.50     0.0   -     -2           -     +0
3    Terminal Velocity    2    58.0    3    1.55     0.0   -     1            1     +1
4    Flying Hafla         2    58.0    4    1.60     0.0   -     1            1     +1
5    Twilight Bay         2    58.0    5    2.90     0.0   -     -            -     +0
6    Oh Mandy             3    58.0    6    9.80     8.0   73    -18          63    -10
7    Cupid's Way          3    60.0    7    11.10    8.0   56    -14          46    -10
8    Bocciolo             3    58.0    8    15.00    8.0   -     -18          -     +0
9    Lady Platina         3    58.0    9    22.00    8.0   -     -18          -     +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Warrior Royale - 101 - +101 8.0 -
2 Got The Fever - 70 - +70 0.0 -
3 Terminal Velocity - 68 1 +67 0.0 -
4 Flying Hafla - 73 1 +72 0.0 -
5 Twilight Bay Line - 72 - +72 0.0
6 Oh Mandy 73 64 63 +1 8.0 -
7 Cupid's Way 56 48 46 +2 8.0 -
8 Bocciolo - 51 - +51 8.0 -
9 Lady Platina - 37 - +37 8.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points