Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 70 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Capetown Affair
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Zanetto              4    60.5    1    0.00     1.5   71    69           71    +0
2    Capetown Affair      5    49.5    2    3.80     0.0   51    51           51    +0
3    Captain Seager       4    62.0    3    6.30     1.5   74    72           72    -2
4    Forest Jump          8    55.5    4    8.30     0.0   69    62           62    -7
5    High Velocity        4    53.0    5    10.00    1.5   56    54           54    -2
6    Pineview             4    55.5    6    10.40    1.5   61    59           59    -2
7    What A Blast         6    56.0    7    12.20    0.0   62    63           63    +1
8    Camora               4    56.5    8    14.70    1.5   66    61           61    -5
9    Knight Warrior       5    59.5    9    18.70    0.0   69    70           70    +1
99   Gimme A Rainbow      4    58.0    99   0.00     1.5   -     64           64    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Zanetto 71 86 71 +15 1.5 -
2 Capetown Affair Line 51 59 51 +8 0.0
3 Captain Seager 74 69 72 -3 1.5 -
4 Forest Jump 69 62 62 ✓ Match 0.0 -
5 High Velocity 56 50 54 -4 1.5 -
6 Pineview 61 50 59 -9 1.5 -
7 What A Blast 62 53 63 -10 0.0 -
8 Camora 66 81 61 +20 1.5 -
9 Knight Warrior 69 74 70 +4 0.0 -
99 Gimme A Rainbow - 74 64 +10 1.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points