Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 67 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Forest Jump
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Querari's Dream 2 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 66 64 66 +0 2 King Bavarian 5 53.5 2 0.40 0.0 54 57 57 +3 3 Forest Jump 8 57.5 3 2.90 0.0 62 62 62 +0 4 Wave Warrior 3 57.5 4 3.20 8.0 65 46 55 -10 5 Brave Voyager 3 56.5 5 3.40 8.0 60 43 50 -10 6 Basie Raakvat 4 57.0 6 4.30 5.0 70 49 60 -10 7 Notable 2 59.0 7 4.35 0.0 81 63 71 -10 8 Connoisseur 4 59.0 8 4.50 5.0 66 53 56 -10 9 Galaxy Explorer 4 59.0 9 7.20 5.0 66 53 56 -10 10 Calling All Angels 2 53.0 10 7.80 0.0 59 51 51 -8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Querari's Dream | 66 | 70 | 66 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | King Bavarian | 54 | 67 | 57 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Forest Jump Line | 62 | 62 | 62 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Wave Warrior | 65 | 68 | 55 | +13 | 8.0 | - | |
| 5 | Brave Voyager | 60 | 51 | 50 | +1 | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | Basie Raakvat | 70 | 63 | 60 | +3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Notable | 81 | 84 | 71 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Connoisseur | 66 | 56 | 56 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Galaxy Explorer | 66 | 60 | 56 | +4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Calling All Angels | 59 | 59 | 51 | +8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points