Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY RACING MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Bold Leah
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Royal Welcome 3 60.0 1 0.00 3.5 55 54 54 -1 2 Ladonna Mia 3 60.0 2 1.25 3.5 63 54 54 -9 3 Gailiea 3 58.5 3 1.75 3.5 43 51 51 +8 4 Bold Leah 4 60.0 4 2.00 4.0 53 53 53 +0 5 Social Spirit 3 60.0 5 4.25 3.5 58 54 54 -4 6 Magic To The Fore 3 60.0 6 4.30 3.5 63 54 54 -9 7 Twice The Secret 3 60.0 7 6.30 3.5 59 54 54 -5 8 Mezzyoona 4 60.0 8 6.55 4.0 39 53 53 +14 9 Helencanucope 3 60.0 9 7.80 3.5 54 54 54 +0 10 Rare 3 60.0 10 14.30 3.5 60 54 54 -6 11 Jaytara 3 60.0 11 14.35 3.5 - 54 54 +54 12 Temple Bar 3 60.0 12 18.10 3.5 62 54 54 -8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royal Welcome | 55 | 53 | 54 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 2 | Ladonna Mia | 63 | 59 | 54 | +5 | 3.5 | - | |
| 3 | Gailiea | 43 | 50 | 51 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Bold Leah Line | 53 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 4.0 | ||
| 5 | Social Spirit | 58 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 6 | Magic To The Fore | 63 | 58 | 54 | +4 | 3.5 | - | |
| 7 | Twice The Secret | 59 | 60 | 54 | +6 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Mezzyoona | 39 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 4.0 | - | |
| 9 | Helencanucope | 54 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Rare | 60 | 53 | 54 | -1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 11 | Jaytara | - | 47 | 54 | -7 | 3.5 | - | |
| 12 | Temple Bar | 62 | 60 | 54 | +6 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points