Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 17 OCTOBER FM 74 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Palace Dancer
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Francilien 2 60.0 1 0.00 5.5 85 91 85 +0 2 Striking Angel 2 59.5 2 1.75 5.5 73 90 90 +17 3 Palace Dancer 3 59.0 3 2.40 8.5 83 83 83 +0 4 We Will Rock You 3 56.5 4 2.50 8.5 83 78 78 -5 5 Raining Rubies 5 58.5 5 4.50 0.0 71 99 99 +28 6 Mix The Magic 3 53.0 6 6.50 8.5 60 71 71 +11 7 Perini Palace 4 49.5 7 6.55 10.0 56 61 61 +5 8 Southern Style 5 53.0 8 7.75 0.0 60 88 88 +28 9 Together Again 5 52.0 9 7.85 0.0 57 86 86 +29 10 Tree Fairy 3 48.5 10 13.35 8.5 59 62 62 +3 99 Gimme The Flame 5 53.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 88 88 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francilien | 85 | 94 | 85 | +9 | 5.5 | - | |
| 2 | Striking Angel | 73 | 68 | 90 | -22 | 5.5 | - | |
| 3 | Palace Dancer Line | 83 | 88 | 83 | +5 | 8.5 | ||
| 4 | We Will Rock You | 83 | 77 | 78 | -1 | 8.5 | - | |
| 5 | Raining Rubies | 71 | 75 | 99 | -24 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Mix The Magic | 60 | 52 | 71 | -19 | 8.5 | - | |
| 7 | Perini Palace | 56 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 10.0 | - | |
| 8 | Southern Style | 60 | 54 | 88 | -34 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Together Again | 57 | 55 | 86 | -31 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Tree Fairy | 59 | 54 | 62 | -8 | 8.5 | - | |
| 99 | Gimme The Flame | - | 50 | 88 | -38 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points