Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)

Back to Race
Line Horse
Irish Luck
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Stars In Heaven      2    59.0    1    0.00     5.5   72    72           72    +0
2    Professor Lupin      4    60.5    2    0.30     10.0  78    66           68    -10
3    Irish Luck           2    59.0    3    0.70     5.5   72    72           72    +0
4    Hippocrates          3    58.0    4    1.40     8.5   70    64           64    -6
5    Phaka Imali          3    57.0    5    2.20     8.5   68    62           62    -6
6    Kalahari Roller      3    61.0    6    2.70     8.5   87    70           77    -10
7    Cotton Ron           6    52.5    7    4.50     0.0   59    70           70    +11
8    Super Fast           5    57.5    8    4.75     0.0   77    80           80    +3
99   Preemptive Strike    4    60.0    99   0.00     10.0  -     65           65    +0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Stars In Heaven 72 87 72 +15 5.5 -
2 Professor Lupin 78 67 68 -1 10.0 -
3 Irish Luck Line 72 72 72 ✓ Match 5.5
4 Hippocrates 70 68 64 +4 8.5 -
5 Phaka Imali 68 62 62 ✓ Match 8.5 -
6 Kalahari Roller 87 86 77 +9 8.5 -
7 Cotton Ron 59 59 70 -11 0.0 -
8 Super Fast 77 83 80 +3 0.0 -
99 Preemptive Strike - 70 65 +5 10.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points