Race 5: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)
VAAL RACECOURSE | Thursday, 17 October 2024 | 14:40
Distance:
1700m
Going:
Good
Stakes:
R85,000
Weight For Age(SSL) 3yrs:9.0 4yrs:1.0 Weight For Age(SNL) 3yrs:11.5 4yrs:2.5
Race Results
| Pos | Horse | A.C.S. | Weight | Draw | Jockey | Len | MR | CMR | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | Thambi | 5 ch. g | 56.0kg (58.5) | 3 | Mr T J Mayhew | - | - | 55 | 5/2 |
| - | Japanese Maple | 4 b. g | 53.5kg (57.5) | 6 | Mr Damyan Pillay | - | - | 56 | - |
| 1st | Luthuli | 5 b. h | 56.5kg (60.5) | 1 | Mr Jace Botes | - | 75 | 74 | 5/2 |
| 2nd | Vava Vegas | 5 ch. g | 50.0kg (54.0) | 2 | Mr G Samo-Burthia | 0.2 | 62 | 58 | 10/1 |
| 3rd | Futurewolff TF | 5 ch. g | 58.5kg | 6 | Mr K J Lihaba | 4.5 | 71 | 75 | 2/1 |
| 4 | Guerilla Warfare | 3 b. g | 54.5kg (57.0) | 4 | Mr N Nastili | 4.65 | 86 | 75 | 7/1 |
| 5 | Stormy Winter | 8 gr. g | 58.0kg (60.5) | 3 | Mr B J A Plaatjies | 4.75 | 75 | 69 | 16/1 |
| 6 | American Biscuit | 3 b. c | 54.0kg (58.0) | 5 | Mr M Mbuto | 13.0 | 70 | 65 | 7/2 |
Race Timing
Winning Time
104.62s
Average Time
103.22s
Difference
+%.2fs
Total Pool
R757,500
Rating Analysis
| Horse | Pos | MR Before | MR After | Official Δ | Expected Δ | Discrepancy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luthuli | 1 | 75 | 74 | + 7 | -8 | |
| Vava Vegas | 2 | 62 | 58 | -1 | -3 | |
| Futurewolff | 3 | 71 | 75 | -2 | + 6 | |
| Guerilla Warfare | 4 | 86 | 75 | -2 | -9 | |
| Stormy Winter | 5 | 75 | 69 | -2 | -4 | |
| American Biscuit | 6 | 70 | 65 | -5 | ||
| Thambi | None | - | 55 | - | -188 | - |
| Japanese Maple | None | - | 56 | - | -188 | - |
Note: Expected changes are calculated using simplified algorithms.
Official NHRA algorithms from the PDF will provide accurate benchmarking.
Stipes Report
THE STARTER HAD NO REPORTS. THE STIPENDIARY STEWARDS REPORTED: a) AMERICAN BISCUIT (*M Mbuto) raced wide, without cover around the turn and into the straight and tired rapidly from the 200m. b) Leaving the 300m, GUERILLA WARFARE (*N Nastili) was carried out marginally by VAVA VEGAS (*G Samo-Burthia), which shifted out away from the crop and was immediately corrected. c) Apprentice G Samo-Burthia, the rider of VAVA VEGAS, rode a satisfactory qualifying ride. d) LUTHULI (*J Botes), the winner, was selected for the taking of specimens for analysis. Trainer F P Habib advised (MduP). JOCKEY CHANGES: None. RACE CARD CHANGES / OTHER: a) FUTUREWOLFF raced with a cornell collar (declared 24 February 2024). b) VAVA VEGAS raced without blinkers (declared 14 October 2024 at 10H29). THE VETERINARY SURGEON HAD NO REPORTS. SCRATCHED: a) THAMBI elevated temperature (Trainer) (Rule 53.5 applies). b) JAPANESE MAPLE coughing (Trainer) (Rule 53.5 applies). DISQUALIFIED / DECLARED NON-RUNNER: None.