Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Written In Stone
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Tried And True 5 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 63 62 63 +0 2 Can't Catch Me 5 52.0 2 1.50 0.0 48 52 52 +4 3 Calida 2 61.0 3 3.25 0.0 69 69 69 +0 4 Written In Stone 9 58.5 4 4.00 0.0 63 63 63 +0 5 Count Your Chances 5 53.5 5 6.25 0.0 52 52 52 +0 6 King Rahul 4 56.5 6 6.50 4.5 68 49 58 -10 7 Northern Kitten 3 56.5 7 7.50 7.0 60 44 50 -10 8 Mariachi Madness 2 56.0 8 8.75 0.0 58 57 57 -1 9 Sail The Sky 4 58.0 9 11.75 4.5 63 52 53 -10 10 Kylie's Angel 3 60.0 10 12.25 7.0 67 51 57 -10 11 Miraculous Man 3 52.0 11 13.75 7.0 48 35 38 -10 12 Cartagena 4 57.0 12 15.75 4.5 61 50 51 -10 13 Micke's Bomb 4 60.5 13 17.75 4.5 68 57 58 -10 14 Captain Jim 3 57.0 14 20.25 7.0 66 45 56 -10 99 Dark Tide 5 53.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 52 52 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tried And True | 63 | 75 | 63 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Can't Catch Me | 48 | 58 | 52 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Calida | 69 | 72 | 69 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Written In Stone Line | 63 | 67 | 63 | +4 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Count Your Chances | 52 | 51 | 52 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | King Rahul | 68 | 63 | 58 | +5 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Northern Kitten | 60 | 67 | 50 | +17 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Mariachi Madness | 58 | 57 | 57 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Sail The Sky | 63 | 62 | 53 | +9 | 4.5 | - | |
| 10 | Kylie's Angel | 67 | 60 | 57 | +3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Miraculous Man | 48 | 45 | 38 | +7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 12 | Cartagena | 61 | 77 | 51 | +26 | 4.5 | - | |
| 13 | Micke's Bomb | 68 | 60 | 58 | +2 | 4.5 | - | |
| 14 | Captain Jim | 66 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Dark Tide | - | 53 | 52 | +1 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points