Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 25 OCTOBER FM 64 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
State Capitol
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Ignitethelight 3 60.0 1 0.00 8.0 80 58 80 +0 2 State Capitol 4 60.0 2 0.25 5.0 64 64 64 +0 3 Green Fame 4 59.5 3 1.00 5.0 64 67 67 +3 4 Eat Prey Love 3 58.0 4 1.50 8.0 76 57 66 -10 5 La Pequenita 3 60.0 5 2.00 8.0 65 61 61 -4 6 Colorama 6 56.5 6 2.05 0.0 57 70 70 +13 7 Galaxy Moment 4 54.5 7 3.80 5.0 53 54 54 +1 8 First Wish 3 59.0 8 5.30 8.0 78 56 68 -10 9 Ginger Palace 3 59.0 9 6.05 8.0 78 56 68 -10 10 No Greater Love 5 60.5 10 6.30 0.0 65 75 75 +10 11 Kileigh's Fate 4 53.0 11 6.80 5.0 50 50 50 +0 12 Spirit Princess 2 56.0 12 9.05 0.0 56 66 66 +10 13 Frosty Reception 3 59.5 13 14.30 8.0 79 57 69 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ignitethelight | 80 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | State Capitol Line | 64 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Green Fame | 64 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Eat Prey Love | 76 | 71 | 66 | +5 | 8.0 | - | |
| 5 | La Pequenita | 65 | 62 | 61 | +1 | 8.0 | - | |
| 6 | Colorama | 57 | 54 | 70 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Galaxy Moment | 53 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | First Wish | 78 | 86 | 68 | +18 | 8.0 | - | |
| 9 | Ginger Palace | 78 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 8.0 | - | |
| 10 | No Greater Love | 65 | 68 | 75 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Kileigh's Fate | 50 | 48 | 50 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Spirit Princess | 56 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Frosty Reception | 79 | 63 | 69 | -6 | 8.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points