Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: OPEN A TABGOLD ACCOUNT - 031 314 1874 MR 65 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
One Irish Rover
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
3 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Forest Jump 8 58.5 1 0.00 0.0 62 59 62 +0 2 L'Ultimo 2 55.0 2 0.30 0.0 58 57 57 -1 3 One Irish Rover 5 59.0 3 1.35 0.0 63 63 63 +0 4 Wave Warrior 3 59.5 4 4.85 8.0 64 45 54 -10 5 Count Marsh 7 55.5 5 6.65 0.0 56 53 53 -3 6 Brave Voyager 3 57.0 6 6.70 8.0 59 40 49 -10 7 Gorgeous Dude 4 59.5 7 10.10 5.0 65 51 55 -10 8 Plettenberg 3 58.5 8 10.80 8.0 63 43 53 -10 99 Basie Raakvat 4 60.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 53 53 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Forest Jump | 62 | 62 | 62 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | L'Ultimo | 58 | 61 | 57 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | One Irish Rover Line | 63 | 65 | 63 | +2 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Wave Warrior | 64 | 68 | 54 | +14 | 8.0 | - | |
| 5 | Count Marsh | 56 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Brave Voyager | 59 | 51 | 49 | +2 | 8.0 | - | |
| 7 | Gorgeous Dude | 65 | 55 | 55 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Plettenberg | 63 | 59 | 53 | +6 | 8.0 | - | |
| 99 | Basie Raakvat | - | 63 | 53 | +10 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points