Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: OPEN A TABGOLD ACCOUNT - 031 314 1874 MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Tyrconnell
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Nocturnal Flight 3 57.5 1 0.00 8.0 76 59 76 +0 2 Tyrconnell 5 59.0 2 0.05 0.0 78 78 78 +0 3 Jazz Festival 5 55.5 3 0.35 0.0 71 76 76 +5 4 Nightjar 3 55.0 4 1.25 8.0 71 58 61 -10 5 Red Mountain 4 56.5 5 4.05 5.0 74 64 64 -10 6 Future Saint 4 56.5 6 4.65 5.0 74 63 64 -10 7 Double Olympic 4 55.5 7 4.70 5.0 72 61 62 -10 8 Dont Judge 2 56.0 8 6.10 0.0 88 72 78 -10 9 Night Rocker 2 55.5 9 6.40 0.0 87 71 77 -10 10 Ralph The Rascal 8 60.0 10 8.30 0.0 80 80 80 +0 11 Oh My Word Its Roy 3 52.0 11 11.70 8.0 54 48 48 -6 99 Down By The River 2 60.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 81 81 +0 99 Palermo 4 58.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 66 66 +0 99 El Dante 7 59.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 79 79 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nocturnal Flight | 76 | 72 | 76 | -4 | 8.0 | - | |
| 2 | Tyrconnell Line | 78 | 82 | 78 | +4 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Jazz Festival | 71 | 70 | 76 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Nightjar | 71 | 67 | 61 | +6 | 8.0 | - | |
| 5 | Red Mountain | 74 | 77 | 64 | +13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Future Saint | 74 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Double Olympic | 72 | 53 | 62 | -9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Dont Judge | 88 | 74 | 78 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Night Rocker | 87 | 77 | 77 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | Ralph The Rascal | 80 | 73 | 80 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Oh My Word Its Roy | 54 | 50 | 48 | +2 | 8.0 | - | |
| 99 | Down By The River | - | 95 | 81 | +14 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Palermo | - | 76 | 66 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | El Dante | - | 87 | 79 | +8 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points