Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING TUESDAY 5 NOVEMBER FM 68 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Play With Fire
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Have A Party 3 54.0 1 0.00 9.0 56 49 56 +0 2 Sneak Preview 3 59.0 2 3.00 9.0 68 61 61 -7 3 Play With Fire 4 60.0 3 4.20 5.0 70 70 70 +0 4 Party Punch 3 56.5 4 4.30 9.0 79 54 69 -10 5 Stormy Sunday 2 58.5 5 4.75 0.0 83 76 76 -7 6 Teo Torriatte 4 59.5 6 6.50 5.0 69 68 68 -1 7 Northern Kitten 3 53.5 7 6.75 9.0 57 48 48 -9 8 Cartagena 4 54.5 8 7.25 5.0 59 58 58 -1 9 Angelofthemorning 3 52.0 9 12.50 9.0 48 45 45 -3 10 Tree Fairy 3 53.0 10 19.00 9.0 59 47 49 -10 11 Summerland 5 52.0 11 20.00 0.0 45 63 63 +18 99 Silky Jet 4 57.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 64 64 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Have A Party | 56 | 64 | 56 | +8 | 9.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sneak Preview | 68 | 63 | 61 | +2 | 9.0 | - | |
| 3 | Play With Fire Line | 70 | 79 | 70 | +9 | 5.0 | ||
| 4 | Party Punch | 79 | 62 | 69 | -7 | 9.0 | - | |
| 5 | Stormy Sunday | 83 | 82 | 76 | +6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Teo Torriatte | 69 | 94 | 68 | +26 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Northern Kitten | 57 | 67 | 48 | +19 | 9.0 | - | |
| 8 | Cartagena | 59 | 77 | 58 | +19 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Angelofthemorning | 48 | 48 | 45 | +3 | 9.0 | - | |
| 10 | Tree Fairy | 59 | 54 | 49 | +5 | 9.0 | - | |
| 11 | Summerland | 45 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Silky Jet | - | 61 | 64 | -3 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points