Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: RACEHORSE OWNERS ASSOCIATION MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Waqaas (AUS)
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Admiral Dooley 3 58.5 1 0.00 3.0 83 67 83 +0 2 Dawn Of A New Era 4 56.0 2 1.00 1.5 75 69 69 -6 3 Waqaas (AUS) 6 58.0 3 1.25 0.0 76 76 76 +0 4 Evening Primrose 3 57.5 4 3.50 3.0 81 66 71 -10 5 Dual At Dawn 5 57.5 5 4.00 0.0 75 72 72 -3 6 Bey Suyay 4 58.0 6 4.50 1.5 76 69 69 -7 7 Baymax 4 58.0 7 6.00 1.5 76 69 69 -7 8 Romeo's Magic 7 57.5 8 6.25 0.0 75 71 71 -4 9 Castle Corner 4 59.5 9 7.00 1.5 79 72 72 -7 10 In Cahoots 6 56.5 10 7.75 0.0 73 69 69 -4 11 Ntabazondi 3 55.5 11 8.00 3.0 77 61 67 -10 12 Top Wesselton 3 60.0 12 12.00 3.0 86 70 76 -10 13 Ushuaia 4 58.0 13 12.75 1.5 76 69 69 -7 14 Starrywinternight 3 57.5 14 13.75 3.0 81 65 71 -10 99 Bloomington 3 55.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 60 60 +0 99 Humble Tune 4 57.0 99 0.00 1.5 - 67 67 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Admiral Dooley | 83 | 84 | 83 | +1 | 3.0 | - | |
| 2 | Dawn Of A New Era | 75 | 78 | 69 | +9 | 1.5 | - | |
| 3 | Waqaas (AUS) Line | 76 | 56 | 76 | -20 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Evening Primrose | 81 | 77 | 71 | +6 | 3.0 | - | |
| 5 | Dual At Dawn | 75 | 62 | 72 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Bey Suyay | 76 | 84 | 69 | +15 | 1.5 | - | |
| 7 | Baymax | 76 | 66 | 69 | -3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 8 | Romeo's Magic | 75 | 73 | 71 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Castle Corner | 79 | 72 | 72 | ✓ Match | 1.5 | - | |
| 10 | In Cahoots | 73 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Ntabazondi | 77 | 70 | 67 | +3 | 3.0 | - | |
| 12 | Top Wesselton | 86 | 68 | 76 | -8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 13 | Ushuaia | 76 | 72 | 69 | +3 | 1.5 | - | |
| 14 | Starrywinternight | 81 | 66 | 71 | -5 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Bloomington | - | 69 | 60 | +9 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Humble Tune | - | 58 | 67 | -9 | 1.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points