Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: RaceCape Powered by Hollywoodbets CLASS 3 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 96)
Line Horse
Future Turn
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Aspect 2 58.0 1 0.00 0.0 92 88 88 -4 2 Future Turn 5 56.0 2 1.25 0.0 88 88 88 +0 3 Carriacou 3 52.5 3 1.45 7.0 81 66 71 -10 4 Solar Power 3 61.0 4 2.45 7.0 98 82 88 -10 5 The Grey King 4 61.0 5 2.85 4.0 98 88 88 -10 6 Tyrion Lannister 2 57.0 6 3.35 0.0 90 87 87 -3 7 Royal Invitation 5 55.5 7 3.45 0.0 87 84 84 -3 8 Willie John 3 55.0 8 99.92 7.0 86 68 76 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aspect | 92 | 93 | 88 | +5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Future Turn Line | 88 | 78 | 88 | -10 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Carriacou | 81 | 78 | 71 | +7 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Solar Power | 98 | 88 | 88 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | The Grey King | 98 | 98 | 88 | +10 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Tyrion Lannister | 90 | 88 | 87 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Royal Invitation | 87 | 99 | 84 | +15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Willie John | 86 | 84 | 76 | +8 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points