Official NHA Assessment

Race 2: BETWAY SUMMER CUP 30 NOVEMBER MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)

Line Horse
Parabellum
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Big Boy Bruce        2    60.0    1    0.00     5.0   71    7            7     -64
2    Hong Kong            3    56.5    2    3.50     7.5   -     -5           -     +0
3    Amanatto             3    56.5    3    7.25     7.5   -     -5           -     +0
4    Parabellum           3    59.0    4    7.75     7.5   -     -            -     +0
5    Dragon Dragon        3    57.5    5    12.25    7.5   61    -3           51    -10
6    Midnight Music       3    56.5    6    17.75    7.5   -     -5           -     +0
7    Gear Shift           2    59.0    7    27.75    5.0   -     5            5     +5
99   Mystic Vision        3    59.0    99   0.00     7.5   -     -            -     +0
99   Casus Belli          3    57.5    99   0.00     7.5   -     -3           -3    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Big Boy Bruce 71 76 7 +69 5.0 -
2 Hong Kong - 93 - +93 7.5 -
3 Amanatto - 64 - +64 7.5 -
4 Parabellum Line - 61 - +61 7.5
5 Dragon Dragon 61 58 51 +7 7.5 -
6 Midnight Music - 66 - +66 7.5 -
7 Gear Shift - 35 5 +30 5.0 -
99 Mystic Vision - 66 - - 7.5 -
99 Casus Belli - 64 -3 +67 7.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points