Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 76 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Cabinet Shuffle
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Flight Path 2 60.0 1 0.00 5.0 76 92 76 +0 2 Cabinet Shuffle 4 57.5 2 4.50 9.0 79 79 79 +0 3 Now I Got You 5 56.5 3 5.60 0.0 69 95 95 +26 4 Lightning Jimmy 4 53.5 4 5.90 9.0 63 71 71 +8 4 Fire Tonic 3 59.5 4 5.90 7.5 75 86 86 +11 6 Teriyaki 4 60.0 6 6.10 9.0 76 84 84 +8 7 Music Is Life 2 58.0 7 7.50 5.0 72 88 88 +16 8 Lazy Guy 4 51.0 8 8.30 9.0 61 66 66 +5 9 Gorgeous Dude 4 52.5 9 9.00 9.0 61 69 69 +8 99 Super Fast 5 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 100 100 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flight Path | 76 | 84 | 76 | +8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Cabinet Shuffle Line | 79 | 76 | 79 | -3 | 9.0 | ||
| 3 | Now I Got You | 69 | 67 | 95 | -28 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Lightning Jimmy | 63 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 9.0 | - | |
| 4 | Fire Tonic | 75 | 72 | 86 | -14 | 7.5 | - | |
| 6 | Teriyaki | 76 | 71 | 84 | -13 | 9.0 | - | |
| 7 | Music Is Life | 72 | 71 | 88 | -17 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Lazy Guy | 61 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 9.0 | - | |
| 9 | Gorgeous Dude | 61 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 9.0 | - | |
| 99 | Super Fast | - | 83 | 100 | -17 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points