Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 73 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Irish Luck
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
2 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Benni In The Area    3    60.5    1    0.00     6.0   74    59           74    +0
2    Irish Luck           2    59.5    2    1.90     0.0   72    72           72    +0
3    Teatime Tipple       2    61.0    3    2.95     0.0   75    74           74    -1
4    Lake Como            3    53.5    4    5.15     6.0   63    45           53    -10
5    Sweeper Keeper       4    60.0    5    5.35     3.5   73    63           63    -10
6    Noble Warrior        4    54.5    6    5.85     3.5   67    52           57    -10
7    Rafiki               2    58.5    7    8.85     0.0   70    67           67    -3
8    Move To Prove        2    55.5    8    9.25     0.0   76    61           66    -10
9    Beach Palace         4    58.5    9    10.45    3.5   70    60           60    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Benni In The Area 74 78 74 +4 6.0 -
2 Irish Luck Line 72 72 72 ✓ Match 0.0
3 Teatime Tipple 75 69 74 -5 0.0 -
4 Lake Como 63 61 53 +8 6.0 -
5 Sweeper Keeper 73 67 63 +4 3.5 -
6 Noble Warrior 67 54 57 -3 3.5 -
7 Rafiki 70 67 67 ✓ Match 0.0 -
8 Move To Prove 76 63 66 -3 0.0 -
9 Beach Palace 70 67 60 +7 3.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points