Official NHA Assessment

Race 5: RACING TODAY MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Carnelo
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    After Hours          7    57.0    1    0.00     0.0   60    56           60    +0
2    Vava Vegas           5    60.0    2    1.00     0.0   66    66           66    +0
3    Carnelo              6    55.5    3    1.10     0.0   57    57           57    +0
4    Written In Stone     9    58.5    4    1.90     0.0   63    62           62    -1
5    Can't Catch Me       5    53.5    5    2.20     0.0   53    52           52    -1
6    Time For Charity     5    56.0    6    2.60     0.0   58    56           56    -2
7    Black Lightning      2    59.5    7    3.85     0.0   65    62           62    -3
8    One Party            3    60.5    8    19.10    7.0   81    49           71    -10
9    Captain Jim          3    60.0    9    32.10    7.0   66    48           56    -10
99   Bob Lee Swagger      4    54.5    99   0.00     4.0   -     43           43    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 After Hours 60 79 60 +19 0.0 -
2 Vava Vegas 66 58 66 -8 0.0 -
3 Carnelo Line 57 75 57 +18 0.0
4 Written In Stone 63 67 62 +5 0.0 -
5 Can't Catch Me 53 58 52 +6 0.0 -
6 Time For Charity 58 61 56 +5 0.0 -
7 Black Lightning 65 64 62 +2 0.0 -
8 One Party 81 75 71 +4 7.0 -
9 Captain Jim 66 54 56 -2 7.0 -
99 Bob Lee Swagger - 53 43 +10 4.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points