Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY OPEN MAIDEN (F & M) (For all Maiden F&M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Tune Again
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 String Of Lights 4 61.0 1 0.00 9.0 66 48 48 -18 2 Serendipitous 3 59.5 2 0.10 7.5 73 48 63 -10 3 Tune Again 6 54.5 3 1.10 0.0 53 53 53 +0 4 Fantasy Girl 2 58.0 4 1.85 5.0 70 50 60 -10 5 Alpine Diamond 3 51.5 5 5.85 7.5 50 32 40 -10 6 Sweet Cake 2 61.0 6 7.35 5.0 76 56 66 -10 7 Big Spender 3 52.0 7 10.60 7.5 30 33 33 +3 8 Igisha 3 60.0 8 10.70 7.5 - 49 49 +49 9 Natural Wonder 3 54.0 9 20.20 7.5 62 37 52 -10 10 Gotcha Buzz 2 57.0 10 99.94 5.0 57 48 48 -9 99 Faraway Star 2 60.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 54 54 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | String Of Lights | 66 | 66 | 48 | +18 | 9.0 | - | |
| 2 | Serendipitous | 73 | 60 | 63 | -3 | 7.5 | - | |
| 3 | Tune Again Line | 53 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Fantasy Girl | 70 | 58 | 60 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Alpine Diamond | 50 | 56 | 40 | +16 | 7.5 | - | |
| 6 | Sweet Cake | 76 | 60 | 66 | -6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Big Spender | 30 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 7.5 | - | |
| 8 | Igisha | - | - | 49 | -49 | 7.5 | - | |
| 9 | Natural Wonder | 62 | 55 | 52 | +3 | 7.5 | - | |
| 10 | Gotcha Buzz | 57 | 61 | 48 | +13 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Faraway Star | - | - | 54 | -54 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points