Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE CLASS 5 (Open. Benchmark at 60.0kg = 66)
Line Horse
Gravity
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Augusta Blue 5 60.5 1 0.00 0.0 67 85 73 +6 2 Prince Of Tibet 4 60.5 2 0.40 9.0 67 67 67 +0 3 Rougarouin 4 59.0 3 1.15 9.0 64 64 64 +0 4 Gravity 4 55.0 4 1.35 9.0 56 56 56 +0 5 Tambourine Man 5 58.0 5 2.85 0.0 62 80 80 +18 6 Ischyro 3 55.0 6 3.35 7.5 56 59 59 +3 7 Undercover Lover 4 52.0 7 3.65 9.0 49 50 50 +1 8 Champagne Mac 4 61.0 8 3.95 9.0 68 68 68 +0 9 King Viserys 4 59.5 9 6.70 9.0 65 65 65 +0 10 Torres 2 59.0 10 7.45 5.0 74 72 72 -2 11 Mr Frostie 4 53.0 11 9.20 9.0 52 52 52 +0 12 Petteia 2 61.0 12 12.20 5.0 68 76 76 +8 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augusta Blue | 67 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Prince Of Tibet | 67 | 63 | 67 | -4 | 9.0 | - | |
| 3 | Rougarouin | 64 | 69 | 64 | +5 | 9.0 | - | |
| 4 | Gravity Line | 56 | 63 | 56 | +7 | 9.0 | ||
| 5 | Tambourine Man | 62 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Ischyro | 56 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 7.5 | - | |
| 7 | Undercover Lover | 49 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 9.0 | - | |
| 8 | Champagne Mac | 68 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 9.0 | - | |
| 9 | King Viserys | 65 | 73 | 65 | +8 | 9.0 | - | |
| 10 | Torres | 74 | 70 | 72 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Mr Frostie | 52 | 51 | 52 | -1 | 9.0 | - | |
| 12 | Petteia | 68 | 50 | 76 | -26 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points