Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 74 HANDICAP (Open)

Line Horse
Ndaka
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Intrepid             3    61.0    1    0.00     7.5   76    76           76    +0
2    Immah                3    60.0    2    0.50     7.5   87    74           77    -10
3    Ndaka                3    60.5    3    1.40     7.5   75    75           75    +0
4    Rafa's Boy           2    59.0    4    2.80     5.0   77    77           77    +0
5    El Draque            5    56.5    5    3.00     0.0   67    82           82    +15
6    Trafalgar Square     6    61.0    6    5.40     0.0   76    91           91    +15
7    Cappellino           3    58.0    7    5.80     7.5   70    70           70    +0
8    Sakhala Is'Cathulo   3    58.5    8    7.00     7.5   71    71           71    +0
9    Anotherdayinafrica   6    48.0    9    12.00    0.0   50    65           65    +15
99   Barry Du Grond       3    58.5    99   0.00     7.5   -     71           71    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Intrepid 76 73 76 -3 7.5 -
2 Immah 87 82 77 +5 7.5 -
3 Ndaka Line 75 61 75 -14 7.5
4 Rafa's Boy 77 79 77 +2 5.0 -
5 El Draque 67 57 82 -25 0.0 -
6 Trafalgar Square 76 69 91 -22 0.0 -
7 Cappellino 70 61 70 -9 7.5 -
8 Sakhala Is'Cathulo 71 66 71 -5 7.5 -
9 Anotherdayinafrica 50 49 65 -16 0.0 -
99 Barry Du Grond - 67 71 -4 7.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points