Official NHA Assessment
Race 7: BETWAY VICTORY MOON STAKES (Grade 3) (Open)
Line Horse
Purple Pitcher
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Greeting My Master 2 51.0 1 0.00 0.0 107 109 109 +2 2 Main Defender 4 62.0 2 0.50 4.5 129 127 127 -2 3 Atticus Finch 5 54.0 3 3.00 0.0 112 117 117 +5 4 Thunee Playa 4 51.0 4 3.40 4.5 93 101 101 +8 5 Purple Pitcher 4 62.0 5 4.00 4.5 123 123 123 +0 6 Puerto Manzano (ARG 4 61.0 6 7.25 4.5 122 120 120 -2 7 Safe Passage 3 54.0 7 8.75 8.0 109 99 99 -10 8 My Soul Mate 4 51.5 8 10.50 4.5 111 101 101 -10 9 Aragosta 3 54.0 9 11.00 8.0 113 99 103 -10 10 Shoemaker 2 54.0 10 14.50 0.0 111 115 115 +4 11 Home Of The Brave 2 51.0 11 15.50 0.0 101 109 109 +8 12 Pure Predator 2 58.0 12 16.50 0.0 119 123 123 +4 13 Johnny Hero 5 51.0 13 17.75 0.0 108 109 109 +1 14 Future Pearl 2 57.0 14 18.25 0.0 118 121 121 +3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greeting My Master | 107 | 110 | 109 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Main Defender | 129 | 130 | 127 | +3 | 4.5 | - | |
| 3 | Atticus Finch | 112 | 127 | 117 | +10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Thunee Playa | 93 | 107 | 101 | +6 | 4.5 | - | |
| 5 | Purple Pitcher Line | 123 | 121 | 123 | -2 | 4.5 | ||
| 6 | Puerto Manzano (ARG) | 122 | 119 | 120 | -1 | 4.5 | - | |
| 7 | Safe Passage | 109 | 108 | 99 | +9 | 8.0 | - | |
| 8 | My Soul Mate | 111 | 107 | 101 | +6 | 4.5 | - | |
| 9 | Aragosta | 113 | 109 | 103 | +6 | 8.0 | - | |
| 10 | Shoemaker | 111 | 109 | 115 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Home Of The Brave | 101 | 97 | 109 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Pure Predator | 119 | 118 | 123 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Johnny Hero | 108 | 87 | 109 | -22 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Future Pearl | 118 | 114 | 121 | -7 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points