Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 21 NOVEMBER FM 66 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Dancing Dora
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 12
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 12
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 12
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cars Big As Bars 4 62.0 1 0.00 9.0 70 52 70 +0 2 Dancing Dora 6 56.0 2 1.40 0.0 58 58 58 +0 3 Southern Style 5 53.0 3 2.65 0.0 57 52 52 -5 4 Mix The Magic 3 55.5 4 5.35 7.5 57 42 47 -10 5 Gimme The Flame 5 57.0 5 5.60 0.0 60 60 60 +0 6 Gal Gadot 8 52.0 6 5.90 0.0 50 50 50 +0 7 Bad Hair Day 2 52.0 7 6.65 5.0 47 40 40 -7 8 Tibetan Voyage 3 52.5 8 7.15 7.5 51 36 41 -10 99 Wilkies 2 52.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 40 40 +0 99 Oriental Bouquet 4 58.5 99 0.00 9.0 - 45 45 +0 99 Vathomvlaffie 2 55.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 46 46 +0 99 Samoa 10 57.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 61 61 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cars Big As Bars | 70 | 75 | 70 | +5 | 9.0 | - | |
| 2 | Dancing Dora Line | 58 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Southern Style | 57 | 54 | 52 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Mix The Magic | 57 | 52 | 47 | +5 | 7.5 | - | |
| 5 | Gimme The Flame | 60 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Gal Gadot | 50 | 50 | 50 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Bad Hair Day | 47 | 47 | 40 | +7 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Tibetan Voyage | 51 | 51 | 41 | +10 | 7.5 | - | |
| 99 | Wilkies | - | 50 | 40 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Oriental Bouquet | - | 56 | 45 | +11 | 9.0 | - | |
| 99 | Vathomvlaffie | - | 56 | 46 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Samoa | - | 64 | 61 | +3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points