Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Cotton Ron
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Stevie Gee           5    57.0    1    0.00     0.0   62    62           62    +0
2    Mac Hardy            4    54.5    2    1.05     9.0   57    39           47    -10
3    Cotton Ron           6    54.0    3    1.20     0.0   56    56           56    +0
4    Lou Lou The Legend   3    52.5    4    1.25     7.5   53    38           43    -10
5    Phaka Imali          3    59.5    5    1.55     7.5   67    52           57    -10
6    Purple Powahouse     8    55.5    6    2.15     0.0   59    59           59    +0
7    Daring Act           4    56.5    7    3.85     9.0   61    43           51    -10
8    Brave Voyager        3    54.5    8    5.55     7.5   57    42           47    -10
9    Future Saint         4    60.0    9    6.85     9.0   68    50           58    -10
99   Trade War            3    58.5    99   0.00     7.5   -     50           50    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Stevie Gee 62 65 62 +3 0.0 -
2 Mac Hardy 57 64 47 +17 9.0 -
3 Cotton Ron Line 56 59 56 +3 0.0
4 Lou Lou The Legend 53 59 43 +16 7.5 -
5 Phaka Imali 67 62 57 +5 7.5 -
6 Purple Powahouse 59 55 59 -4 0.0 -
7 Daring Act 61 60 51 +9 9.0 -
8 Brave Voyager 57 51 47 +4 7.5 -
9 Future Saint 68 53 58 -5 9.0 -
99 Trade War - 70 50 +20 7.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points