Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 22 NOVEMBER MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Absolu Noir
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 16
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 16
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 16
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    William The First    2    60.0    1    0.00     0.0   68    65           68    +0
2    Absolu Noir          8    52.0    2    2.25     0.0   52    52           52    +0
3    Legal Thriller       4    61.5    3    3.50     3.5   71    62           62    -9
4    Master Forester      3    58.5    4    3.75     6.0   77    51           67    -10
5    Flash Lightning      4    59.5    5    4.75     3.5   67    57           57    -10
6    Guarding The Wall    4    58.5    6    5.00     3.5   65    55           55    -10
7    Clap Of Thunder      3    59.5    7    5.10     6.0   67    52           57    -10
8    Aquila Gold          4    58.0    8    5.20     3.5   64    54           54    -10
9    Great Times          3    53.0    9    5.30     6.0   54    39           44    -10
10   Coral Creek          3    59.5    10   6.30     6.0   79    52           69    -10
11   Potent Captain       4    59.0    11   6.55     3.5   66    56           56    -10
12   Cruzador             6    59.5    12   6.65     0.0   67    64           64    -3
13   Duke Of Orange       3    53.5    13   8.65     6.0   55    40           45    -10
14   Resurgence           4    58.0    14   9.15     3.5   64    54           54    -10
99   War Launch           2    53.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     52           52    +0
99   Mister Whistle       4    52.0    99   0.00     3.5   -     42           42    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 William The First 68 75 68 +7 0.0 -
2 Absolu Noir Line 52 50 52 -2 0.0
3 Legal Thriller 71 70 62 +8 3.5 -
4 Master Forester 77 90 67 +23 6.0 -
5 Flash Lightning 67 69 57 +12 3.5 -
6 Guarding The Wall 65 67 55 +12 3.5 -
7 Clap Of Thunder 67 66 57 +9 6.0 -
8 Aquila Gold 64 56 54 +2 3.5 -
9 Great Times 54 54 44 +10 6.0 -
10 Coral Creek 79 73 69 +4 6.0 -
11 Potent Captain 66 54 56 -2 3.5 -
12 Cruzador 67 61 64 -3 0.0 -
13 Duke Of Orange 55 53 45 +8 6.0 -
14 Resurgence 64 57 54 +3 3.5 -
99 War Launch - 50 52 -2 0.0 -
99 Mister Whistle - 52 42 +10 3.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points