Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 23 NOVEMBER FM 80 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Princess Ilaria
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Coral Blaze 2 55.5 1 0.00 0.0 83 69 83 +0 2 Miss Lia 3 56.5 2 0.75 6.0 85 63 75 -10 3 Princess Ilaria 5 55.5 3 3.15 0.0 71 71 71 +0 4 Palace Dancer 3 55.5 4 3.25 6.0 83 59 73 -10 5 Greenhouse 3 55.0 5 4.50 6.0 82 56 72 -10 6 Sensoria 3 56.0 6 4.75 6.0 84 58 74 -10 7 Quantum 5 60.5 7 5.50 0.0 81 79 79 -2 8 Silver Parasol 3 55.0 8 5.75 6.0 82 56 72 -10 9 Kissing Machine 3 60.5 9 6.50 6.0 81 67 71 -10 10 Just Be Nice 3 55.0 10 17.50 6.0 75 56 65 -10 99 Coffeeberry 5 56.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 70 70 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coral Blaze | 83 | 90 | 83 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Miss Lia | 85 | 95 | 75 | +20 | 6.0 | - | |
| 3 | Princess Ilaria Line | 71 | 79 | 71 | +8 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Palace Dancer | 83 | 88 | 73 | +15 | 6.0 | - | |
| 5 | Greenhouse | 82 | 73 | 72 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 6 | Sensoria | 84 | 84 | 74 | +10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Quantum | 81 | 67 | 79 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Silver Parasol | 82 | 79 | 72 | +7 | 6.0 | - | |
| 9 | Kissing Machine | 81 | 88 | 71 | +17 | 6.0 | - | |
| 10 | Just Be Nice | 75 | 73 | 65 | +8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Coffeeberry | - | 72 | 70 | +2 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points