Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MAIDEN HANDICAP (For Maidens with 3 or more runs BM at 60kg = 68)

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Line Horse
Mo King
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Amor Fati            2    60.0    1    0.00     0.0   79    65           79    +0
2    Mo King              2    59.5    2    2.90     0.0   66    66           66    +0
3    Grand Oasis          3    52.0    3    3.20     6.0   63    39           53    -10
4    Catavar              4    55.0    4    5.70     3.5   65    48           55    -10
5    Monocle              3    48.0    5    7.30     6.0   47    29           37    -10
6    Sovereign Command    3    58.0    6    8.40     6.0   75    49           65    -10
7    Davos                2    52.0    7    11.70    0.0   44    49           49    +5
8    Bubba Gump           2    50.5    8    22.80    0.0   59    46           49    -10
99   Doin' Time           5    54.5    99   0.00     0.0   -     54           54    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Amor Fati 79 92 79 +13 0.0 -
2 Mo King Line 66 66 66 ✓ Match 0.0
3 Grand Oasis 63 72 53 +19 6.0 -
4 Catavar 65 64 55 +9 3.5 -
5 Monocle 47 52 37 +15 6.0 -
6 Sovereign Command 75 62 65 -3 6.0 -
7 Davos 44 44 49 -5 0.0 -
8 Bubba Gump 59 53 49 +4 0.0 -
99 Doin' Time - 54 54 ✓ Match 0.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points