Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Tiger Storm
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bourbon Reserve 2 59.0 1 0.00 5.0 - 86 6 +6 2 Tiger Storm 3 59.0 2 3.75 7.5 81 81 81 +0 3 Green Cherry 3 59.0 3 6.00 7.5 - 81 81 +81 4 Fizzly Bubbly 3 59.0 4 7.00 7.5 - 81 81 +81 5 Ringho 4 60.0 5 11.25 9.0 54 80 80 +26 99 Hemisphere 3 56.5 99 0.00 7.5 - 76 76 +0 99 Montana Lights 2 56.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 81 81 +0 99 The Real Deal 4 56.0 99 0.00 9.0 - 72 72 +0 99 Cyber Spirit 2 56.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 81 81 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bourbon Reserve | - | 82 | 6 | +76 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Tiger Storm Line | 81 | 69 | 81 | -12 | 7.5 | ||
| 3 | Green Cherry | - | - | 81 | -81 | 7.5 | - | |
| 4 | Fizzly Bubbly | - | 70 | 81 | -11 | 7.5 | - | |
| 5 | Ringho | 54 | 60 | 80 | -20 | 9.0 | - | |
| 99 | Hemisphere | - | 83 | 76 | +7 | 7.5 | - | |
| 99 | Montana Lights | - | 78 | 81 | -3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | The Real Deal | - | 50 | 72 | -22 | 9.0 | - | |
| 99 | Cyber Spirit | - | 62 | 81 | -19 | 5.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points