Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 28 NOVEMBER MR 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
After Hours
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Bacchus 3 59.0 1 0.00 7.0 92 60 92 +0 2 Dark Silver 4 58.5 2 1.50 4.0 77 68 68 -9 3 After Hours 7 52.0 3 2.00 0.0 63 63 63 +0 4 Vava Vegas 5 49.0 4 3.25 0.0 66 56 56 -10 5 Stormy Winter 8 57.0 5 4.75 0.0 74 70 70 -4 6 Thambi 5 54.0 6 5.25 0.0 68 64 64 -4 7 Hammies Hero 2 56.0 7 6.50 0.0 72 68 68 -4 8 Red Legend 2 56.5 8 7.25 0.0 87 69 77 -10 9 Eiffel Tower 4 58.5 9 7.75 4.0 82 65 72 -10 10 New Mexico 2 57.5 10 8.75 0.0 75 71 71 -4 11 Fifth Of July 5 55.5 11 11.00 0.0 71 67 67 -4 12 Together Again 5 52.0 12 24.00 0.0 54 60 60 +6 13 Hat Trick Or Treat 2 56.0 13 27.00 0.0 86 68 76 -10 14 Volte Face 3 55.5 14 99.99 7.0 71 53 61 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bacchus | 92 | 101 | 92 | +9 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Dark Silver | 77 | 84 | 68 | +16 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | After Hours Line | 63 | 79 | 63 | +16 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Vava Vegas | 66 | 58 | 56 | +2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Stormy Winter | 74 | 69 | 70 | -1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Thambi | 68 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Hammies Hero | 72 | 69 | 68 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Red Legend | 87 | 81 | 77 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Eiffel Tower | 82 | 69 | 72 | -3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 10 | New Mexico | 75 | 83 | 71 | +12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Fifth Of July | 71 | 63 | 67 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 12 | Together Again | 54 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Hat Trick Or Treat | 86 | 76 | 76 | ✓ Match | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Volte Face | 71 | 66 | 61 | +5 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points