Official NHA Assessment

Race 10: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE OPEN MAIDEN (For all Maidens)

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Line Horse
Bombers In The Sky
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Congressman          4    61.0    1    0.00     4.5   73    90           70    -3
2    Bombers In The Sky   3    56.0    2    1.50     8.0   78    78           78    +0
3    Golden Grey          4    57.0    3    3.25     4.5   65    85           85    +20
4    Global Reef          3    58.0    4    4.00     8.0   67    79           79    +12
5    Garden Sun           3    53.0    5    6.25     8.0   72    67           67    -5
6    Past And Present     3    52.0    6    6.30     8.0   68    65           65    -3
7    Bomber Bay           2    53.5    7    6.50     0.0   73    84           84    +11
8    Greenlight Legend    4    53.5    8    11.25    4.5   63    75           75    +12
9    Typically French     4    53.0    9    15.00    4.5   50    74           74    +24
10   Johnny Drama         3    58.0    10   16.75    8.0   -     77           77    +77
11   What Again           3    52.0    11   21.50    8.0   69    65           65    -4
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Congressman 73 93 70 +23 4.5 -
2 Bombers In The Sky Line 78 84 78 +6 8.0
3 Golden Grey 65 64 85 -21 4.5 -
4 Global Reef 67 68 79 -11 8.0 -
5 Garden Sun 72 69 67 +2 8.0 -
6 Past And Present 68 68 65 +3 8.0 -
7 Bomber Bay 73 60 84 -24 0.0 -
8 Greenlight Legend 63 78 75 +3 4.5 -
9 Typically French 50 52 74 -22 4.5 -
10 Johnny Drama - 78 77 +1 8.0 -
11 What Again 69 62 65 -3 8.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points