Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT VAAL RACEMEETING THURSDAY 5 DECEMBER MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Dancing Dora
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Together Again 5 54.0 1 0.00 0.0 54 54 54 +0 2 Samoa 10 57.5 2 0.25 0.0 61 61 61 +0 3 Dancing Dora 6 56.0 3 2.00 0.0 58 58 58 +0 4 Jet Cat 9 55.0 4 2.25 0.0 56 56 56 +0 5 Smashing 4 59.5 5 3.00 9.0 65 47 55 -10 6 In The Ether 6 60.0 6 3.25 0.0 66 66 66 +0 7 Pacific 4 58.0 7 4.50 9.0 62 44 52 -10 8 Commander Of All 2 60.0 8 4.75 5.0 66 56 56 -10 9 Perini Palace 4 50.0 9 5.00 9.0 54 28 44 -10 10 Phala Millions 4 57.0 10 7.25 9.0 60 42 50 -10 11 Bregardt 4 59.5 11 7.50 9.0 65 47 55 -10 12 Remains Of The Day 3 57.0 12 8.25 7.5 68 45 58 -10 99 Bridge Of Spies 6 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 50 50 +0 99 Tibetan Voyage 3 52.5 99 0.00 7.5 - 36 36 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Together Again | 54 | 55 | 54 | +1 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Samoa | 61 | 64 | 61 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Dancing Dora Line | 58 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Jet Cat | 56 | 60 | 56 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Smashing | 65 | 78 | 55 | +23 | 9.0 | - | |
| 6 | In The Ether | 66 | 63 | 66 | -3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 7 | Pacific | 62 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 9.0 | - | |
| 8 | Commander Of All | 66 | 56 | 56 | ✓ Match | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Perini Palace | 54 | 56 | 44 | +12 | 9.0 | - | |
| 10 | Phala Millions | 60 | 66 | 50 | +16 | 9.0 | - | |
| 11 | Bregardt | 65 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 9.0 | - | |
| 12 | Remains Of The Day | 68 | 60 | 58 | +2 | 7.5 | - | |
| 99 | Bridge Of Spies | - | 48 | 50 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Tibetan Voyage | - | 51 | 36 | +15 | 7.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points