Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F & M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Tune Again
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
11 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Walkonthewildside 3 59.0 1 0.00 7.5 - 36 6 +6 2 Her Royalty 3 59.0 2 0.75 7.5 79 36 69 -10 3 Alado's Habit 3 59.0 3 1.25 7.5 - 36 36 +36 4 Tune Again 6 60.0 4 2.50 0.0 53 53 53 +0 5 Choc' Late 3 60.0 5 2.55 7.5 50 38 40 -10 6 Serendipitous 3 59.0 6 3.80 7.5 75 36 65 -10 7 Alpine Diamond 3 59.0 7 6.05 7.5 48 36 38 -10 8 Dirty Mimosa 2 59.0 8 6.15 5.0 56 41 46 -10 9 Shout At The Moon 3 60.0 9 6.90 7.5 45 38 38 -7 10 Chloe's Dancer 3 59.0 10 8.65 7.5 - 36 36 +36 11 Hat Montera 3 59.0 11 9.40 7.5 - 36 36 +36 12 Regina Lou 3 59.0 12 12.65 7.5 - 36 36 +36 13 Big Spender 3 60.0 13 15.90 7.5 30 38 38 +8 14 Palace Of Justice 3 59.0 14 21.40 7.5 - 36 36 +36 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walkonthewildside | - | 84 | 6 | +78 | 7.5 | - | |
| 2 | Her Royalty | 79 | 68 | 69 | -1 | 7.5 | - | |
| 3 | Alado's Habit | - | 68 | 36 | +32 | 7.5 | - | |
| 4 | Tune Again Line | 53 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Choc' Late | 50 | 56 | 40 | +16 | 7.5 | - | |
| 6 | Serendipitous | 75 | 60 | 65 | -5 | 7.5 | - | |
| 7 | Alpine Diamond | 48 | 56 | 38 | +18 | 7.5 | - | |
| 8 | Dirty Mimosa | 56 | 56 | 46 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Shout At The Moon | 45 | 45 | 38 | +7 | 7.5 | - | |
| 10 | Chloe's Dancer | - | 56 | 36 | +20 | 7.5 | - | |
| 11 | Hat Montera | - | 81 | 36 | +45 | 7.5 | - | |
| 12 | Regina Lou | - | 54 | 36 | +18 | 7.5 | - | |
| 13 | Big Spender | 30 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 7.5 | - | |
| 14 | Palace Of Justice | - | - | 36 | -36 | 7.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points