Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 78 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Poursomesugaronme
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
3 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
4 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Tomyris              4    58.5    1    0.00     3.0   75    66           75    +0
2    Lucrative            2    60.0    2    1.00     0.0   88    79           79    -9
3    Poursomesugaronme    5    58.0    3    1.90     0.0   74    74           74    +0
4    Beautiful Rania      3    57.5    4    3.00     5.0   83    62           73    -10
5    Sunshine Day         4    60.5    5    3.25     3.0   79    72           72    -7
6    Nellie Melba         4    60.0    6    3.95     3.0   78    70           70    -8
7    Mississippi Spice    3    55.5    7    4.65     5.0   82    56           72    -10
8    Lillybelle           6    58.5    8    7.05     0.0   75    72           72    -3
9    Rani Of Jhansi       3    59.0    9    7.75     5.0   76    63           66    -10
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Tomyris 75 93 75 +18 3.0 -
2 Lucrative 88 98 79 +19 0.0 -
3 Poursomesugaronme Line 74 77 74 +3 0.0
4 Beautiful Rania 83 72 73 -1 5.0 -
5 Sunshine Day 79 69 72 -3 3.0 -
6 Nellie Melba 78 68 70 -2 3.0 -
7 Mississippi Spice 82 64 72 -8 5.0 -
8 Lillybelle 75 73 72 +1 0.0 -
9 Rani Of Jhansi 76 74 66 +8 5.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points