Official NHA Assessment
Race 2: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MAIDEN PLATE (For all Maidens. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Spy Story
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 19
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 19
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
16 / 19
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Lloyd Wright 3 59.0 1 0.00 5.0 80 70 70 -10 2 Spy Story 3 59.0 2 0.90 5.0 74 74 74 +0 3 Highveld Storm 3 60.0 3 4.65 5.0 66 72 72 +6 4 Chabal 3 59.0 4 8.90 5.0 - 70 70 +70 5 Takeyourbestshot 3 57.5 5 9.90 5.0 74 67 67 -7 6 Pibe De Oro 3 59.0 6 11.20 5.0 85 70 75 -10 7 Sovereign Crown 3 59.0 7 11.80 5.0 69 70 70 +1 8 Follow The Master 3 59.0 8 12.30 5.0 - 70 70 +70 9 Sky Pillar Rock 3 59.0 9 12.50 5.0 - 70 70 +70 10 Lord Of The North 3 59.0 10 13.75 5.0 - 70 70 +70 11 Green Cherry 3 59.0 11 14.45 5.0 - 70 70 +70 12 Gear Shift 2 59.0 12 19.70 0.0 - 80 80 +80 13 Afterburn 3 59.0 13 20.95 5.0 - 70 70 +70 14 Kissing Master 3 59.0 14 25.70 5.0 - 70 70 +70 15 King Beijing 5 60.0 15 39.95 0.0 - 82 82 +82 99 Knight's Fire 3 59.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 70 70 +0 99 Satyagraha 3 59.0 99 0.00 5.0 - 70 70 +0 99 Jabberwocky 4 60.0 99 0.00 3.0 - 76 76 +0 99 Gold Fever 2 59.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 80 80 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lloyd Wright | 80 | 80 | 70 | +10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Spy Story Line | 74 | 66 | 74 | -8 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Highveld Storm | 66 | 66 | 72 | -6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Chabal | - | 73 | 70 | +3 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Takeyourbestshot | 74 | 68 | 67 | +1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Pibe De Oro | 85 | 66 | 75 | -9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 7 | Sovereign Crown | 69 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 8 | Follow The Master | - | 82 | 70 | +12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 9 | Sky Pillar Rock | - | 81 | 70 | +11 | 5.0 | - | |
| 10 | Lord Of The North | - | 48 | 70 | -22 | 5.0 | - | |
| 11 | Green Cherry | - | - | 70 | -70 | 5.0 | - | |
| 12 | Gear Shift | - | 35 | 80 | -45 | 0.0 | - | |
| 13 | Afterburn | - | 62 | 70 | -8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 14 | Kissing Master | - | 39 | 70 | -31 | 5.0 | - | |
| 15 | King Beijing | - | 37 | 82 | -45 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Knight's Fire | - | 60 | 70 | -10 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Satyagraha | - | 78 | 70 | +8 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Jabberwocky | - | 53 | 76 | -23 | 3.0 | - | |
| 99 | Gold Fever | - | 59 | 80 | -21 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points