Official NHA Assessment
Race 4: EARL OF SURREY MERIT RATED 80 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Admirals Chance
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 6
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
0 / 6
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 6
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Kallipos 3 56.0 1 0.00 5.0 72 62 72 +0 2 Admirals Chance 5 62.0 2 0.10 0.0 84 84 84 +0 3 Red Top 5 57.0 3 3.10 0.0 74 76 76 +2 4 Battle Of Seattle 2 56.5 4 3.15 0.0 73 75 75 +2 5 Nandine 3 58.0 5 5.15 5.0 76 66 66 -10 99 Tradition 4 59.5 99 0.00 3.0 - 73 73 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kallipos | 72 | 63 | 72 | -9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 2 | Admirals Chance Line | 84 | 77 | 84 | -7 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Red Top | 74 | 70 | 76 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | Battle Of Seattle | 73 | 59 | 75 | -16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Nandine | 76 | 60 | 66 | -6 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Tradition | - | 77 | 73 | +4 | 3.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points