Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 83 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Hope Is Power
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 15
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 15
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
13 / 15
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Mar Del Plata 2 55.5 1 0.00 4.0 74 86 74 +0 2 Hope Is Power 3 55.0 2 0.05 6.0 81 81 81 +0 3 Soho Star 3 60.5 3 0.85 6.0 92 92 92 +0 4 Licence To Thrill 4 60.0 4 2.15 7.0 83 89 89 +6 5 Gorgeous Guy 2 58.0 5 3.05 4.0 79 91 91 +12 6 Yannakis 2 55.5 6 3.35 4.0 74 86 86 +12 7 Now I Got You 5 48.0 7 3.95 0.0 67 79 79 +12 8 The Gliding Fish 6 55.5 8 4.15 0.0 74 94 94 +20 9 Winter Games 4 62.0 9 5.55 7.0 87 93 93 +6 10 Fine One 2 61.0 10 7.35 4.0 93 97 97 +4 11 Ibhele 3 61.0 11 9.75 6.0 93 93 93 +0 12 Fire Tonic 3 55.0 12 10.55 6.0 73 81 81 +8 13 Apex Predator 4 56.5 13 11.25 7.0 76 82 82 +6 99 Vihaan's Web 2 60.0 99 0.00 4.0 - 95 95 +0 99 Flight Path 2 60.5 99 0.00 4.0 - 96 96 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar Del Plata | 74 | 77 | 74 | +3 | 4.0 | - | |
| 2 | Hope Is Power Line | 81 | 80 | 81 | -1 | 6.0 | ||
| 3 | Soho Star | 92 | 105 | 92 | +13 | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Licence To Thrill | 83 | 98 | 89 | +9 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Gorgeous Guy | 79 | 81 | 91 | -10 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Yannakis | 74 | 67 | 86 | -19 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Now I Got You | 67 | 67 | 79 | -12 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | The Gliding Fish | 74 | 68 | 94 | -26 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Winter Games | 87 | 103 | 93 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Fine One | 93 | 84 | 97 | -13 | 4.0 | - | |
| 11 | Ibhele | 93 | 70 | 93 | -23 | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | Fire Tonic | 73 | 72 | 81 | -9 | 6.0 | - | |
| 13 | Apex Predator | 76 | 69 | 82 | -13 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Vihaan's Web | - | 107 | 95 | +12 | 4.0 | - | |
| 99 | Flight Path | - | 84 | 96 | -12 | 4.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points