Official NHA Assessment

Race 9: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE FM 72 HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)

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Line Horse
Flashy Kaitrina
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
9 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Lady Serena          3    56.5    1    0.00     2.5   71    55           71    +0
2    Flashy Kaitrina      5    60.0    2    0.50     0.0   72    72           72    +0
3    Desert Rose          3    58.5    3    0.90     2.5   75    63           65    -10
4    Fateful Mistress     5    53.5    4    0.95     0.0   59    58           58    -1
5    Laurel Lane          4    52.0    5    1.65     1.5   55    51           51    -4
6    Snow Tune            3    55.0    6    2.85     2.5   71    54           61    -10
7    Rockie Reef          3    57.0    7    3.15     2.5   72    58           62    -10
8    Miss Lialah          4    48.0    8    3.90     1.5   56    41           46    -10
9    Forgetful Girl       4    59.0    9    5.30     1.5   70    62           62    -8
10   Golly Miss Molly     4    48.0    10   5.80     1.5   52    40           42    -10
11   Trattoria            5    56.0    11   6.00     0.0   64    59           59    -5
12   Kildonan Bay         5    55.5    12   6.15     0.0   63    58           58    -5
13   Tombola              6    52.5    13   8.45     0.0   52    52           52    +0
99   Mvulazana            3    58.5    99   0.00     2.5   -     59           59    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Lady Serena 71 80 71 +9 2.5 -
2 Flashy Kaitrina Line 72 82 72 +10 0.0
3 Desert Rose 75 75 65 +10 2.5 -
4 Fateful Mistress 59 51 58 -7 0.0 -
5 Laurel Lane 55 60 51 +9 1.5 -
6 Snow Tune 71 65 61 +4 2.5 -
7 Rockie Reef 72 97 62 +35 2.5 -
8 Miss Lialah 56 65 46 +19 1.5 -
9 Forgetful Girl 70 58 62 -4 1.5 -
10 Golly Miss Molly 52 50 42 +8 1.5 -
11 Trattoria 64 56 59 -3 0.0 -
12 Kildonan Bay 63 54 58 -4 0.0 -
13 Tombola 52 50 52 -2 0.0 -
99 Mvulazana - 82 59 +23 2.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points