Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 84 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Celtic Chief
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Savantrix            4    59.0    1    0.00     3.0   82    85           82    +0
2    Jp's Palace          3    56.0    2    3.00     5.0   86    77           77    -9
3    Celtic Chief         3    57.5    3    4.10     5.0   79    79           79    +0
4    Ultra Quick          6    55.0    4    4.15     0.0   74    84           84    +10
5    Joshua Hotsnake      3    55.0    5    4.40     5.0   73    73           73    +0
6    Comedy Club          3    52.5    6    4.70     5.0   87    68           77    -10
7    Benni In The Area    3    57.0    7    9.40     5.0   78    77           77    -1
8    Knight Warrior       5    58.0    8    9.80     0.0   80    89           89    +9
9    Got The Word         2    52.5    9    9.85     0.0   78    78           78    +0
99   Chinaberry           3    60.5    99   0.00     5.0   -     84           84    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Savantrix 82 90 82 +8 3.0 -
2 Jp's Palace 86 93 77 +16 5.0 -
3 Celtic Chief Line 79 75 79 -4 5.0
4 Ultra Quick 74 71 84 -13 0.0 -
5 Joshua Hotsnake 73 67 73 -6 5.0 -
6 Comedy Club 87 86 77 +9 5.0 -
7 Benni In The Area 78 78 77 +1 5.0 -
8 Knight Warrior 80 74 89 -15 0.0 -
9 Got The Word 78 52 78 -26 0.0 -
99 Chinaberry - 58 84 -26 5.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points