Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: RIDGEMONT PENINSULA HANDICAP (Grade 3) (Handicap for 3 year old horses and older)
Line Horse
Future Swing
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 The Futurist 3 56.0 1 0.00 7.0 104 86 104 +0 2 Otto Luyken 5 53.5 2 0.40 0.0 99 100 100 +1 3 Infrared 3 54.0 3 0.70 7.0 101 87 91 -10 4 Future Swing 2 59.0 4 1.10 0.0 110 110 110 +0 5 Litigation 3 60.5 5 1.85 7.0 113 98 103 -10 6 Baratheon 3 57.0 6 2.35 7.0 106 90 96 -10 7 Mucho Dinero 2 59.0 7 2.40 0.0 110 108 108 -2 8 Triple Time 5 60.0 8 3.90 0.0 112 109 109 -3 9 Rockpool 2 56.0 9 6.90 0.0 104 100 100 -4 10 William Iron Arm 2 59.5 10 11.90 0.0 112 107 107 -5 11 Coastal Commander 4 59.0 11 12.40 3.5 111 99 101 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Futurist | 104 | 104 | 104 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Otto Luyken | 99 | 116 | 100 | +16 | 0.0 | - | |
| 3 | Infrared | 101 | 101 | 91 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 4 | Future Swing Line | 110 | 116 | 110 | +6 | 0.0 | ||
| 5 | Litigation | 113 | 113 | 103 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Baratheon | 106 | 106 | 96 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Mucho Dinero | 110 | 115 | 108 | +7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Triple Time | 112 | 105 | 109 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Rockpool | 104 | 104 | 100 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 10 | William Iron Arm | 112 | 111 | 107 | +4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 11 | Coastal Commander | 111 | 77 | 101 | -24 | 3.5 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points