Official NHA Assessment
Race 10: NEXT TURFFONTEIN RACEMEETING SATURDAY 28 DECEMBER MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Written In Stone
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Micke's Bomb 4 60.0 1 0.00 7.0 68 54 68 +0 2 Mariachi Madness 2 55.0 2 2.00 4.0 58 50 50 -8 3 Written In Stone 9 57.5 3 3.50 0.0 63 63 63 +0 4 Dancing Dora 6 55.5 4 3.75 0.0 59 59 59 +0 5 Captain Efficient 2 60.5 5 3.85 4.0 69 61 61 -8 6 Trentino 2 53.5 6 4.65 4.0 55 47 47 -8 7 Twice As Wild 6 52.5 7 6.15 0.0 56 53 53 -3 8 Together Again 5 55.5 8 10.25 0.0 59 59 59 +0 9 Bregardt 4 57.0 9 10.50 7.0 62 48 52 -10 10 Captain Jim 3 57.5 10 11.25 6.0 63 51 53 -10 11 Delphi Dancer 3 56.5 11 12.50 6.0 61 49 51 -10 12 Nazare 3 61.0 12 13.00 6.0 70 58 60 -10 13 Gal Gadot 8 52.0 13 21.25 0.0 50 52 52 +2 14 Good To Great 3 61.5 14 30.75 6.0 71 59 61 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Micke's Bomb | 68 | 60 | 68 | -8 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Mariachi Madness | 58 | 57 | 50 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 3 | Written In Stone Line | 63 | 67 | 63 | +4 | 0.0 | ||
| 4 | Dancing Dora | 59 | 53 | 59 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 5 | Captain Efficient | 69 | 66 | 61 | +5 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Trentino | 55 | 54 | 47 | +7 | 4.0 | - | |
| 7 | Twice As Wild | 56 | 51 | 53 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Together Again | 59 | 55 | 59 | -4 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Bregardt | 62 | 52 | 52 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Captain Jim | 63 | 54 | 53 | +1 | 6.0 | - | |
| 11 | Delphi Dancer | 61 | 59 | 51 | +8 | 6.0 | - | |
| 12 | Nazare | 70 | 70 | 60 | +10 | 6.0 | - | |
| 13 | Gal Gadot | 50 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 0.0 | - | |
| 14 | Good To Great | 71 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 6.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points