Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Capetown Affair
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 11
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 11
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 11
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Blackwhitedynamite   3    58.0    1    0.00     2.5   70    60           70    +0
2    Capetown Affair      5    50.5    2    1.00     0.0   54    54           54    +0
3    Miss Charlotte       5    56.5    3    1.40     0.0   61    65           65    +4
4    Vegas Gold           3    59.0    4    3.80     2.5   72    63           63    -9
5    Genie                4    60.5    5    4.40     1.5   69    67           67    -2
6    What A Blast         6    56.0    6    5.70     0.0   60    61           61    +1
7    Movie Magic          6    54.5    7    6.20     0.0   57    58           58    +1
8    Montana Sky          5    48.5    8    6.45     0.0   53    46           46    -7
9    Tight Five           4    60.0    9    10.25    1.5   68    66           66    -2
10   Stand By Me (AUS)    8    52.0    10   11.65    0.0   50    53           53    +3
99   Fiery Duke           3    54.5    99   0.00     2.5   -     53           53    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Blackwhitedynamite 70 86 70 +16 2.5 -
2 Capetown Affair Line 54 59 54 +5 0.0
3 Miss Charlotte 61 52 65 -13 0.0 -
4 Vegas Gold 72 83 63 +20 2.5 -
5 Genie 69 62 67 -5 1.5 -
6 What A Blast 60 53 61 -8 0.0 -
7 Movie Magic 57 56 58 -2 0.0 -
8 Montana Sky 53 51 46 +5 0.0 -
9 Tight Five 68 58 66 -8 1.5 -
10 Stand By Me (AUS) 50 50 53 -3 0.0 -
99 Fiery Duke - 72 53 +19 2.5 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points