Official NHA Assessment

Race 7: DE GRENDEL CAPE MERCHANTS (Grade 2) (Handicap for 3-year-old Horses and older)

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Line Horse

Surjay

Reference for assessment

Exact Matches

0 / 20

Calculated = Official

Close Matches

2 / 20

Within 2 points

Significant Diffs

14 / 20

More than 5 points

Detailed Assessment

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1    Outlaw King          2    54.0    1    0.00     4.0   106   110          106   +0
2    Cafe Culture         3    57.0    2    1.25     6.0   112   112          112   +0
3    Surjay               3    63.0    3    1.75     6.0   124   124          124   +0
4    The Real Prince      3    54.5    4    1.80     6.0   107   107          107   +0
5    Gimmelightning       2    52.0    5    3.55     4.0   99    106          106   +7
6    Future Variety       4    57.5    6    5.30     7.0   113   111          111   -2
7    Meu Capitano         4    53.0    7    7.05     7.0   104   102          102   -2
8    Seeking The Stars    7    60.0    8    7.80     0.0   118   130          130   +12
9    Cosmic Highway       3    59.5    9    8.20     6.0   117   117          117   +0
10   Teflon Man           4    52.5    10   8.50     7.0   103   101          101   -2
11   Celtic Rumours       5    54.5    11   9.00     0.0   107   119          119   +12
12   Wecangoallnight      2    55.0    12   10.75    4.0   108   112          112   +4
13   Pineapplemintgreen   2    53.0    13   11.15    4.0   104   108          108   +4
14   Mufasa               6    53.5    14   11.90    0.0   105   117          117   +12
15   At My Command        2    60.5    15   12.90    4.0   119   123          123   +4
16   Mia Moo              4    52.5    16   14.40    7.0   103   101          101   -2
17   King Of The Gauls    3    55.5    17   14.90    6.0   109   109          109   +0
18   Waterberry Lane      6    57.0    18   15.65    0.0   112   124          124   +12
19   Dance Variety        2    57.0    19   99.99    4.0   112   116          116   +4
99   King Regent          3    58.0    99   0.00     6.0   -     114          114   +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos	Horse	Pre-Rating	Official New	Calculated	Discrepancy	WFA (kg)	Line Horse
1	Outlaw King	106	123	106	+17	4.0	-
2	Cafe Culture	112	118	112	+6	6.0	-
3	Surjay Line	124	121	124	-3	6.0
4	The Real Prince	107	128	107	+21	6.0	-
5	Gimmelightning	99	95	106	-11	4.0	-
6	Future Variety	113	116	111	+5	7.0	-
7	Meu Capitano	104	111	102	+9	7.0	-
8	Seeking The Stars	118	116	130	-14	0.0	-
9	Cosmic Highway	117	115	117	-2	6.0	-
10	Teflon Man	103	106	101	+5	7.0	-
11	Celtic Rumours	107	104	119	-15	0.0	-
12	Wecangoallnight	108	95	112	-17	4.0	-
13	Pineapplemintgreen	104	95	108	-13	4.0	-
14	Mufasa	105	98	117	-19	0.0	-
15	At My Command	119	116	123	-7	4.0	-
16	Mia Moo	103	119	101	+18	7.0	-
17	King Of The Gauls	109	113	109	+4	6.0	-
18	Waterberry Lane	112	108	124	-16	0.0	-
19	Dance Variety	112	114	116	-2	4.0	-
99	King Regent	-	106	114	-8	6.0	-

Assessment Methodology

Calculation Steps:

Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA
Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)

Key Formulas:

Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points