Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 77 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Global Movement
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 13
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
5 / 13
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
7 / 13
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Mr Hotstepper        2    57.0    1    0.00     0.0   86    69           86    +0
2    French Trip          4    59.0    2    1.60     3.0   75    70           70    -5
3    Global Movement      6    59.0    3    2.50     0.0   75    75           75    +0
4    Go Grayson Go        3    60.0    4    3.10     6.0   89    65           79    -10
5    Galaxy Explorer      4    48.5    5    4.10     3.0   60    47           50    -10
6    Jazz Festival        5    58.5    6    4.25     0.0   74    73           73    -1
7    Record High          3    55.5    7    4.30     6.0   80    54           70    -10
8    Jaham                3    59.5    8    6.30     6.0   88    62           78    -10
9    Rollo The Viking     3    58.5    9    7.30     6.0   86    60           76    -10
10   Shiny Bob            4    56.0    10   9.80     3.0   69    61           61    -8
11   Captain Marsala      2    56.5    11   10.05    0.0   70    68           68    -2
12   Lucky Dollar         2    58.5    12   10.45    0.0   74    72           72    -2
99   Landseer             4    59.5    99   0.00     3.0   -     68           68    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Mr Hotstepper 86 87 86 +1 0.0 -
2 French Trip 75 88 70 +18 3.0 -
3 Global Movement Line 75 65 75 -10 0.0
4 Go Grayson Go 89 95 79 +16 6.0 -
5 Galaxy Explorer 60 60 50 +10 3.0 -
6 Jazz Festival 74 70 73 -3 0.0 -
7 Record High 80 71 70 +1 6.0 -
8 Jaham 88 89 78 +11 6.0 -
9 Rollo The Viking 86 96 76 +20 6.0 -
10 Shiny Bob 69 60 61 -1 3.0 -
11 Captain Marsala 70 68 68 ✓ Match 0.0 -
12 Lucky Dollar 74 85 72 +13 0.0 -
99 Landseer - 67 68 -1 3.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points