Official NHA Assessment
Race 1: WELCOME TO NELSON MANDELA BAY MAIDEN PLATE (F & M) (For Maiden F & M. R15 000 Win bonus ROA Members)
Line Horse
Alado's Habit
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
2 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Million Reasons 3 60.0 1 0.00 6.0 70 - 70 +0 2 Time In Paris 4 60.0 2 2.50 7.0 61 -2 51 -10 3 Sweet Nothings 3 60.0 3 3.75 6.0 61 - 60 -1 4 Alado's Habit 3 60.0 4 3.80 6.0 - - - +0 5 Cacua Spirit 2 60.0 5 10.80 4.0 56 4 46 -10 6 Pinch Of Salt 3 60.0 6 11.05 6.0 - - - +0 7 Natural Wonder 3 60.0 7 21.80 6.0 55 - 49 -6 99 Tune Again 6 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 12 12 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Million Reasons | 70 | 66 | 70 | -4 | 6.0 | - | |
| 2 | Time In Paris | 61 | 61 | 51 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Sweet Nothings | 61 | 60 | 60 | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - | |
| 4 | Alado's Habit Line | - | 68 | - | +68 | 6.0 | ||
| 5 | Cacua Spirit | 56 | 52 | 46 | +6 | 4.0 | - | |
| 6 | Pinch Of Salt | - | - | - | ✓ Match | 6.0 | - | |
| 7 | Natural Wonder | 55 | 55 | 49 | +6 | 6.0 | - | |
| 99 | Tune Again | - | 50 | 12 | +38 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points