Official NHA Assessment
Race 3: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA MR 96 OPEN HANDICAP (3 year olds) (Open)
Line Horse
Grey Jet
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Potberrie 2 55.5 1 0.00 0.0 86 98 86 +0 2 Grey Jet 3 58.5 2 2.40 5.0 96 96 96 +0 3 Ombudsman 3 53.5 3 9.70 5.0 83 84 84 +1 4 Tintamarre 3 56.5 4 10.00 5.0 89 90 90 +1 5 Lava Fire 3 52.0 5 24.25 5.0 80 81 81 +1 6 Zip Code 3 58.0 6 99.99 5.0 92 93 93 +1 99 Guerilla Warfare 3 53.5 99 0.00 5.0 - 84 84 +0 99 Bay Empire 2 54.5 99 0.00 0.0 - 96 96 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Potberrie | 86 | 105 | 86 | +19 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Grey Jet Line | 96 | 108 | 96 | +12 | 5.0 | ||
| 3 | Ombudsman | 83 | 83 | 84 | -1 | 5.0 | - | |
| 4 | Tintamarre | 89 | 88 | 90 | -2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Lava Fire | 80 | 69 | 81 | -12 | 5.0 | - | |
| 6 | Zip Code | 92 | 77 | 93 | -16 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Guerilla Warfare | - | 75 | 84 | -9 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Bay Empire | - | 62 | 96 | -34 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points