Official NHA Assessment

Race 8: Hollywoodbets BRIGHT FUTURE MR 86 HANDICAP (Open)

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Line Horse
Licence To Thrill
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 8
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 8
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
5 / 8
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
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Pos  Horse                Age  Weight  Fin  Lengths  WFA   Pre   Race Rating  New   Adj  
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1    Hope Is Power        3    53.5    1    0.00     6.0   81    75           81    +0
2    Licence To Thrill    4    58.0    2    0.05     7.0   82    82           82    +0
3    Mar Del Plata        2    55.0    3    0.95     4.0   76    82           82    +6
4    Jet Legacy           5    60.0    4    2.05     0.0   86    100          100   +14
5    Masterbling          3    53.5    5    3.55     6.0   73    75           75    +2
6    B Fiftytwo           4    58.0    6    6.95     7.0   82    82           82    +0
7    Luneluck             2    59.0    7    9.55     4.0   92    90           90    -2
99   Cold Shine           2    57.0    99   0.00     4.0   -     86           86    +0
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Horse-by-Horse Comparison

Pos Horse Pre-Rating Official New Calculated Discrepancy WFA (kg) Line Horse Calculation
1 Hope Is Power 81 80 81 -1 6.0 -
2 Licence To Thrill Line 82 98 82 +16 7.0
3 Mar Del Plata 76 77 82 -5 4.0 -
4 Jet Legacy 86 89 100 -11 0.0 -
5 Masterbling 73 74 75 -1 6.0 -
6 B Fiftytwo 82 68 82 -14 7.0 -
7 Luneluck 92 82 90 -8 4.0 -
99 Cold Shine - 77 86 -9 4.0 -
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
  1. Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
  2. Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
  3. Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
  4. Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
    Weight - Drag - WFA
  5. Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
  6. Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
  • Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
  • 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
  • WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
  • Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points