Official NHA Assessment
Race 6: TAB TELEBET 0861 000 822 MR 66 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Reach Forthe Stars
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 10
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
2 / 10
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 10
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Head Gardener 3 58.5 1 0.00 7.0 63 44 63 +0 2 Reach Forthe Stars 5 58.0 2 2.00 0.0 62 62 62 +0 3 Rastignac 4 56.0 3 2.10 3.5 67 51 57 -10 4 Millennium Dancer 4 55.0 4 2.35 3.5 57 48 48 -9 5 Mr Molony 3 60.5 5 2.85 7.0 67 51 57 -10 6 Coral Creek 3 58.5 6 7.35 7.0 77 44 67 -10 7 Flash Lightning 4 60.0 7 9.85 3.5 67 54 57 -10 8 Lennoxtown 2 59.5 8 10.10 0.0 79 60 69 -10 9 Galaxy Moment 4 52.5 9 15.35 3.5 51 39 41 -10 10 Home Reef 3 60.5 10 99.99 7.0 81 48 71 -10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Head Gardener | 63 | 66 | 63 | +3 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Reach Forthe Stars Line | 62 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Rastignac | 67 | 58 | 57 | +1 | 3.5 | - | |
| 4 | Millennium Dancer | 57 | 50 | 48 | +2 | 3.5 | - | |
| 5 | Mr Molony | 67 | 67 | 57 | +10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 6 | Coral Creek | 77 | 73 | 67 | +6 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Flash Lightning | 67 | 69 | 57 | +12 | 3.5 | - | |
| 8 | Lennoxtown | 79 | 72 | 69 | +3 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Galaxy Moment | 51 | 50 | 41 | +9 | 3.5 | - | |
| 10 | Home Reef | 81 | 87 | 71 | +16 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points