Official NHA Assessment
Race 8: NEXT FAIRVIEW RACEMEETING FRIDAY 3 JANUARY MR 68 HANDICAP (Open)
Line Horse
Sharapova
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
0 / 9
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
1 / 9
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
6 / 9
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Cruzador 6 59.5 1 0.00 0.0 67 67 67 +0 2 Sharapova 5 60.5 2 0.10 0.0 69 69 69 +0 3 Absolu Noir 8 52.5 3 1.10 0.0 52 57 57 +5 4 King's Sailor 3 58.5 4 1.35 5.0 75 58 65 -10 5 Russian Empire 5 56.5 5 4.10 0.0 61 62 62 +1 6 Below Deck 4 61.0 6 5.60 3.0 70 64 64 -6 7 Globetonic 6 58.0 7 6.10 0.0 64 64 64 +0 8 Winning Captain 3 55.5 8 28.60 5.0 58 49 49 -9 99 Axel Collins 5 52.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 52 52 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruzador | 67 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 0.0 | - | |
| 2 | Sharapova Line | 69 | 80 | 69 | +11 | 0.0 | ||
| 3 | Absolu Noir | 52 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 0.0 | - | |
| 4 | King's Sailor | 75 | 67 | 65 | +2 | 5.0 | - | |
| 5 | Russian Empire | 61 | 53 | 62 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Below Deck | 70 | 72 | 64 | +8 | 3.0 | - | |
| 7 | Globetonic | 64 | 77 | 64 | +13 | 0.0 | - | |
| 8 | Winning Captain | 58 | 54 | 49 | +5 | 5.0 | - | |
| 99 | Axel Collins | - | 55 | 52 | +3 | 0.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points