Official NHA Assessment
Race 5: TAKE A BET WINA NUMBA NUMBA FM 70 DIVIDED HANDICAP (F & M) (For Fillies and Mares)
Line Horse
Sneak Preview
Reference for assessment
Exact Matches
1 / 14
Calculated = Official
Close Matches
4 / 14
Within 2 points
Significant Diffs
8 / 14
More than 5 points
Detailed Assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pos Horse Age Weight Fin Lengths WFA Pre Race Rating New Adj ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Silver Parasol 3 55.5 1 0.00 7.0 75 59 75 +0 2 Free In Seattle 3 57.0 2 1.30 7.0 78 65 68 -10 3 Sneak Preview 3 59.0 3 1.80 7.0 69 69 69 +0 4 Vermacilli 3 52.0 4 5.20 7.0 54 52 52 -2 5 Gloria Mundi 2 56.5 5 6.00 0.0 77 75 75 -2 6 Lady Sabrina 3 57.5 6 7.00 7.0 79 63 69 -10 7 Party Punch 3 56.5 7 9.00 7.0 77 61 67 -10 8 Arctic Vixen 2 59.5 8 22.25 0.0 70 81 81 +11 9 Pretty In Pearls 3 59.0 9 99.99 7.0 68 66 66 -2 10 Ambitious Lady 3 56.0 10 99.99 7.0 66 60 60 -6 11 Mary Read 3 59.5 11 99.99 7.0 70 67 67 -3 99 Go Dream Machine 3 52.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 52 52 +0 99 Annewithan E 2 60.0 99 0.00 0.0 - 82 82 +0 99 Have A Party 3 57.0 99 0.00 7.0 - 62 62 +0 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Horse-by-Horse Comparison
| Pos | Horse | Pre-Rating | Official New | Calculated | Discrepancy | WFA (kg) | Line Horse | Calculation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Silver Parasol | 75 | 79 | 75 | +4 | 7.0 | - | |
| 2 | Free In Seattle | 78 | 89 | 68 | +21 | 7.0 | - | |
| 3 | Sneak Preview Line | 69 | 63 | 69 | -6 | 7.0 | ||
| 4 | Vermacilli | 54 | 54 | 52 | +2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 5 | Gloria Mundi | 77 | 66 | 75 | -9 | 0.0 | - | |
| 6 | Lady Sabrina | 79 | 82 | 69 | +13 | 7.0 | - | |
| 7 | Party Punch | 77 | 62 | 67 | -5 | 7.0 | - | |
| 8 | Arctic Vixen | 70 | 66 | 81 | -15 | 0.0 | - | |
| 9 | Pretty In Pearls | 68 | 56 | 66 | -10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 10 | Ambitious Lady | 66 | 62 | 60 | +2 | 7.0 | - | |
| 11 | Mary Read | 70 | 57 | 67 | -10 | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Go Dream Machine | - | 52 | 52 | ✓ Match | 7.0 | - | |
| 99 | Annewithan E | - | 74 | 82 | -8 | 0.0 | - | |
| 99 | Have A Party | - | 64 | 62 | +2 | 7.0 | - |
Assessment Methodology
Calculation Steps:
- Identify Line Horse - consistent performer used as reference
- Calculate WFA Allowance based on age, distance, and month
- Apply Drag Adjustment for beaten margin
- Calculate Actual Weight Performance:
Weight - Drag - WFA - Compare to Line Horse to determine race rating
- Apply special rules (maiden caps, layoff allowance)
Key Formulas:
- Drag Effect: Varies by distance (see Benchmarks page)
- 1 length ≈ 1kg at 1 mile (1600m)
- WFA Scale: Based on Admiral Rous's 1855 table
- Rating Points: 1kg = 2 rating points